Coronavirus India Latest Update Live: Philippines to lift Corona travel ban on 10 countries, including India; 24 districts in Uttar Pradesh are Covid free, says CMO

by Joseph K. Clark

After dropping below one, Covid R-value in India increased sharply to 1.17 in the second half of August, mainly driven by cases in states like Kerala and Maharashtra. (Picture: Reuters)

Coronavirus Case and Fatality Rate in India, Coronavirus Third Wave, Covid R-Value, Today September 4 Live Updates:  Fear of a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic has been getting more robust in the country, and justifiably so as cases have not been decreasing. Instead, patients are irregularly increasing to higher levels. What is more worrying now is that the R-value in the country has surged over 1 again, as the active number of cases of COVID-19 are approaching the 4 lakh figure. R-value is the average number of new infections that are generated per one infected individual. The R-value in the country had earlier dropped to below one after a raging second wave, which had been a relief. But now, a study by researchers at the Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Chennai, has found that in the second half of August, the R-value has risen sharply to 1.17.

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An R-value equaling 1 means, on average, one person is being infected by everyone infected individual. An R-value above 1 indicates a rising number of cases, and if the trend continues, this could mark the beginning of the third wave of the pandemic. This time, Kerala seems to be the cause of the third pandemic wave, as an increasing number of daily cases are being reported. However, it is not the only state where patients are increasing. A few days ago, Dr. Samiran Panda, who heads Epidemiology and Communicable diseases at the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), told news agency ANI that the second wave had not been intense in some states. Still, it left scope for a third wave. Dr. Panda added that an increasing number of cases in some states indicated the beginning of a third wave in the country.

India reported 42,618 new coronavirus infections in the last 24 hours, taking its overall Covid-19 tally to 3,29,45,907, while the number of active cases touched 4,05,681, according to data from the Union Health Ministry data on Saturday. Active topics in the country rose for the fourth consecutive day. The death toll climbed to 4,40,225, with 330 more people succumbing to the viral disease.

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